Sunday, July 3, 2022

Oil gains as Forties outage, Nigeria strike threaten supply

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Jaafar Jaafar
Jaafar Jaafar is a graduate of Mass Communication from Bayero University, Kano. He was a reporter at Daily Trust, an assistant editor at Premium Times and now the editor-in-chief of Daily Nigerian.
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Oil price edged higher on Monday, supported by a North Sea pipeline outage and a Nigerian oil worker strike.

A fall in the number of U.S. rigs drilling for oil also underpinned prices, but growth in U.S. crude output cast a shadow over the market.

Brent crude futures, the international benchmark, were at $63.37 a barrel at 1203 GMT, up 14 cents from their last close.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were at $57.49 a barrel, up 19 cents.

The Brent benchmark had traded as high as $63.91 earlier in the day, but the contract pared gains after Ineos, the operator of the closed North Sea Forties pipeline, said the crack that shut it down had not spread.

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The 450,000-barrels-per-day (bpd) link that provides some of the physical crude underpinning Brent has been shut since December 11, forcing Ineos to declare force majeure on all oil and gas shipments from it last week.

“The declaration of force majeure highlights the seriousness of this,” said Bjarne Schieldrop, Chief Commodities Analyst with SEB in Oslo, adding that any extension of the outage could further boost prices.

A strike by Nigerian oil workers also sparked concerns over exports from Africa’s largest crude producer.

The Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria, whose members mainly work in the upstream oil industry, started industrial action on Monday after talks with government agencies ended in deadlock.

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In the United States, energy companies cut rigs drilling for new production for the first time in six weeks, to 747, in the week ended December 15, energy services firm Baker Hughes said on Friday.

Despite the dip in drilling, activity is still well above this time last year, when the rig count was below 500. Actual U.S. production has soared by 16 percent since mid-2016 to 9.8 million bpd.

U.S. output is fast approaching that of top producers Saudi Arabia and Russia, which are pumping 10 million bpd and 11 million bpd respectively.

This has undermined market-balancing efforts by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and a group of non-OPEC producers including Russia to withhold production.

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Largely because of rising U.S. shale output, the International Energy Agency said global oil markets would show a supply surplus of around 200,000 bpd in the first half of 2018.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration showed a similar surplus for that period and indicated a supply overhang of 167,000 bpd for all of 2018.



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