The Nigerian Meteorological Agency, NiMet, has predicted delay of 2024 rains onset in some parts of the country, especially the North Central states of the country.
This is contained in 2024 Seasonal Climate Prediction, SCP, documents by NiMet presented to the public on Tuesday in Abuja by Mr Festus Keyamo, the Minister of Aviation and Aerospace Development.
According to the document, NiMet said normal onset is likely to occur over the northern states while Borno, and Abia states are predicted to have an early onset when compared to their long-term averages.
“An early end of the season is predicted for parts of Yobe, Jigawa, Sokoto, Kebbi, Kano, Kaduna, Plateau, Nasarawa Taraba, Gombe, Bauchi, Cross River, Ebonyi, Ogun, and Lagos states.
“However, a late cessation is predicted over the southern states of Bayelsa, Rivers, Akwa Ibom, Ondo, Ekiti, and parts of Edo, Delta, Ogun, Oyo, Kogi, Kwara, FCT, Niger, and Kaduna.
“The annual rainfall amount is predicted to be below normal over parts of Yobe, Jigawa, Bauchi, Kano, Kebbi, Gombe, Plateau, Taraba, Nasarawa, Benue, Enugu, Ebonyi, Cross River, Delta and Bayelsa states when compared to their long term normal,” NiMet said
The agency, however, anticipated that other parts of the country are likely to observe normal to above-normal annual rainfall amounts.
It predicted most parts of the country could experience a shorter length of season, while, Bayelsa, Rivers, and Akwa-Ibom are likely to experience a longer length of season when compared with their mean.
According to NiMet, normal to shorter length of season will likely occur in other parts of the country.
The SCP 2024 document contains detailed prediction for temperature in the first five months of the year.
It also contains the predictions for the dry spell and little dry season, as well as prediction for Malaria and Meningitis.
The predictions are accompanied by explicit details, especially focusing on the socio-economic implications associated with each projection.
NAN
Over the years, in my personal observations, I would say the weather forecasts by the NiMet is largely unreliable, that I can say that any such situation we observe in our system can be said to be as unreliable as the NiMet weather forecast. How many times have they said it would rain in my town on certain days and there would be no rain for days?
Our Hon. Minister on professional matters like this, weather forecast for the year please do allow the head of the relevant organisations to speak to the issues. They are expectedly the experts.
We hope both Federal and state govts.should take note and assist Farmers where necessary.